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Trump’s chief metric for who is winning the trade war is moving in the wrong direction

March 28, 2018

For most economists, a large US trade deficit is the natural and sustainable product of a very large consumer-driven economy that imports a lot of its goods.

To Donald Trump and his economic team, the deficit is a scourge punishing US manufacturers, and it must be addressed with aggressive protectionist measures like unilateral tariffs on key imports — despite the widespread threat and fear of retaliation and the rising risk of a trade war.

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