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Tuition increases, lower capital spending likely in store for higher ed as inflation persists, Fitch says

August 18, 2022

Fitch was active sharing information last month as most U.S. colleges started their new fiscal years. The ratings agency circulated a forward-looking commentary on inflation and tuition and held a webinar covering current conditions. It also shared median financial data from 2021 for over 100 colleges whose debt quality it rates.

The median financial data was similar to a report released at the end of June by one of Fitch’s competitors, Moody’s Investors Service. Moody’s analyzed audited financial data at public institutions in its portfolio in 2021 — audited data is more accurate than initial figures — and found operating revenue grew by a median 3.1% amid increased state funding, federal pandemic relief and institutional expense cuts. But Moody’s predicted performance will soon slip back to historic norms or fall below them.

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